Does change in perception of tobacco risk affect smokers' behaviour? - An empirical analysis
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1
East West University, Department of Economics, Bangladesh
2
American Cancer Society, Economic and Health Policy Research Unit, United States of America
3
University of Dhaka, Department of Economics, Bangladesh
4
University of Waterloo, Department of Psychology, Canada
Publication date: 2018-03-01
Tob. Induc. Dis. 2018;16(Suppl 1):A509
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ABSTRACT
Background:
Information
dissemination on harmful effects of tobacco has always been a major tool for
reducing tobacco consumption in all countries. This paper studies
how a change in the Perception of Tobacco Risk (PTR) affects the attitude of
smokers and non-smokers towards smoking. First, this paper wants to observe how PTR varies
among different types of smokers and non-smokers across different socio-demographic backgrounds.
Second, it examines among the cigarette smokers across different
socio-demographic groups how changing PTR over the years influences their
behavior towards smoking.
Methods:
A panel dataset from
the ITC Bangladesh surveys is used for the analysis. Using the panel
dataset, a Perception of Tobacco Risk Index (PTRI) is developed for all smokers
and non-smokers. OLS and
Probit regressions are used on different groups based on income, education,
age, residence to assess the effects of knowledge and income on smoking
behaviour.
Results:
Results show that
among all different types of smokers, quitters have the highest PTRI whereas
bidi (cheap local alternative to cigarettes) smokers have the lowest. Among the
different socio-demographic groups the higher income, more educated, and those
living in urban areas display a higher PTRI than their respective counterparts.
However, it is also observed that the change PTRI is
bigger among the lower income, less educated and those living in rural areas.
Analysis of panel data reveals that the change in PTRI is positively correlated
with the probability to quit smoking for most socio-demographic groups.
However, increase in PTRI does not significantly affect initiation of smoking
and reduces cigarette consumption per day only for the more educated group.
Conclusions:
Results of this paper hold
strong policy implications. First, they show that changing PTR holds promising
implications for controlling tobacco consumption concerning raising quitting
probability. Second, they bring into light, specific socio-demographic groups
where policies to change PTR should be targeted.