Impact of the smoke-free legislation on the incidence and mortality of AMI and stroke in Tianjin China: analysis of routinely collected data
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1
University of Washington, Global Health Department, United States of America
 
2
Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, China
 
3
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, United States of America
 
 
Publication date: 2018-03-01
 
 
Tob. Induc. Dis. 2018;16(Suppl 1):A160
 
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ABSTRACT
Background:
Comprehensive smoke-free legislation is an effective way to protect the population from the harms of secondhand smoke (SHS) and has been implemented in many countries. Tianjin is one of the few cities in China that have passed smoke-free legislation. We investigated the impact of smoke-free legislation on acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and stroke in Tianjin.

Methods:
An interrupted time series design adjusting for underlying secular trend, seasonal pattern, population size changes and meteorology factors was conducted to analyze the impact of the smoking free law on the weekly incidence and mortality of AMI and stroke. The study period was from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2015, with a post-ban follow-up of 3.5 years.

Results:
Following the smoke-free law implementation, there was a decline in the annual proportional change for AMI and stroke mortality. A gradual 16% (RR:0.84; 95% CI: 0.83-0.85) decrease per year in AMI mortality among in population ages ≥ 35 years and a gradual 4% (RR:0.96; 95% CI: 0.95-0.98) decrease per year in stroke mortality among 35-64 age group in Tianjin was observed. Post-ban stroke incidence immediate reductions were found in in stroke in 35-64 age group (RR:0.96; 95% CI: 0.95-0.98). AMI incidence immediate reductions were only found in females aged 35-64 (RR:0.71; 95% CI: 0.65-0.78).

Conclusions:
The smoke-free law in Tianjin was associated with gradual reductions in AMI and stroke mortality and immediate reductions in AMI and stroke incidence. The considerably modest and inconsistent effect on AMI and stroke incidence probably reflects the weak law enforcement and limitation of incidence surveillance data in Tianjin. This study reinforces the need for large-scale, effective and comprehensive smoke-free law in China.
Funding: This research was supported by China Medical Board (15-208)

 
CITATIONS (3):
1.
Impact of Qingdao's smoke‐free legislation on hospitalizations and mortality from acute myocardial infarction and stroke: an interrupted time–series analysis
Hong Xiao, Fei Qi, Xiaorong Jia, Yani Wang, Hua Zhang, Shanpeng Li, Gonghuan Yang, Xia Wan, Mohsen Naghavi
Addiction
 
2.
Reflection on modern methods: a common error in the segmented regression parameterization of interrupted time-series analyses
Hong Xiao, Orvalho Augusto, Bradley Wagenaar
International Journal of Epidemiology
 
3.
Automatic electronic reporting improved the completeness of AMI and stroke incident surveillance in Tianjin, China: a modeling study
Hong Xiao, Fang Liu, Joseph Unger
Population Health Metrics
 
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