Patterns of lung cancer mortality in Russia over a 16-year period, 2000-2015
More details
Hide details
1
Hebrew University, Braun School of Public Health, Israel
Publication date: 2018-03-01
Tob. Induc. Dis. 2018;16(Suppl 1):A500
Download abstract book (PDF)
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Background:
Tobacco smoking has been historically high in Russian men, and steadily
increased in Russian women following the Soviet Union's collapse. Much has been
published about alcohol consumption and alcohol-related mortality in Russia, however,
few studies have assessed regional tobacco-related mortality. This study describes
regional and gender patterns of lung cancer mortality, as a marker for tobacco-related
mortality, in Russia during the period 2000-2015.
Methods:
Age-adjusted lung cancer mortality rates by gender and for eight federal
districts and 83 regions were calculated based on mortality and population data
extracted from the Russian Fertility and Mortality Database. Annual percentage
changes in age-adjusted lung cancer mortality on the national and federal
district levels were estimated, and average age-adjusted lung cancer mortality rates
were mapped. Two-way ANOVA was applied to assess time-district interaction
effects on lung cancer mortality.
Results:
Age-adjusted lung cancer mortality rates were consistently higher in
eastern and central regions of Russia. At the national level, a monotonic
decline in lung cancer mortality during the 16-year period was noted among men
(annual % change = 1.9%), while among
women, national lung cancer
mortality rates remained unchanged for most years. Differences in age-adjusted
lung cancer mortality across federal districts and regions over time, as well
as between the sexes, were noted. A strong time-district interaction for age-adjusted
lung cancer mortality (F=1.810, p< 0.028), and age-adjusted lung cancer
mortality male-to-female ratio (F=3.267, p< 0.001) were found.
Conclusions:
Given the
significant increase in tobacco smoking prevalence among Russian women that
began the 1990s, female lung cancer mortality will continue to rise in the coming
decades, with a disproportionate burden on those regions with insufficient
health services and located far from the federal centers. Additional work is
needed to identify factors underlying the regional and sex differences.