Tuberculosis remains the leading cause of death attributed to smoking in South Africa: results from the South African death certificate study
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1
South Africa Medical Research Council, Burden of Disease Research Unit, South Africa
2
South African Medical Research Council, Biostatistics Unit, South Africa
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South African Medical Research Council, Burden of Disease Research Unit, South Africa
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University of Cape Town, Statistical Department, South Africa
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University of Sydney, School of Public Health, Australia
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University of New South Wales, School of Public Health, Australia
Publication date: 2018-03-01
Tob. Induc. Dis. 2018;16(Suppl 1):A816
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ABSTRACT
Background:
The
question 'Was the deceased a smoker five years ago?' was introduced in
mid-1997 on a revised South African death notification form to provide a direct
estimate of tobacco attributed mortality, using a case-control method for
ongoing monitoring of the tobacco epidemic. This paper updates previous
reports (1999 to 2007).
Methods:
This
analysis included 772,975 deaths from 2000 to 2013, for persons 35 to 74 years with
information about age, year of death, sex, province of death, educational
grade, marital status, population group and smoking status (current smoker vs.
not). Cases comprised
deaths due to diseases expected to be associated with smoking; controls
comprised deaths from selected conditions expected to be unrelated to smoking. Deaths due to HIV without TB, external causes, cirrhosis,
mental disorders, maternal and perinatal conditions and diabetes were excluded.
Smoking-associated relative risks were assumed to be the
case/control versus smoker/ex & non-smoker odds ratios, adjusted for 5-year
age group, education, province, year of death, marital status. Deaths
were extrapolated to the NBD national annual estimates for 2012.
Results:
Smoking-associated relative risks were highest for lung and
upper aero-digestive cancers and COPD amongst the white and coloured (mixed
race) populations reflecting their relatively higher smoking prevalence. When
extrapolated to NBD estimates for 2012, smoking-attributable deaths accounted
for approximately 14 329 out of 284 949 total deaths in persons aged 35 - 74
years (5%). Tuberculosis remains the leading cause of smoking-attributable
deaths (approx 24%) followed by COPD (approx 19%) and lung cancer (approx 17%).
Conclusions:
Different population groups in South Africa are at different
stages of the tobacco epidemic and ongoing monitoring by population group is
required. The cause profile of smoking-attributable mortality in South Africa
differs from that in developed countries and suggests that tobacco cessation
should be incorporated into the South African TB programme.